Buscas algun articulo o informacion? usa nuestro buscador
Síguenos también en:



Facebook


Autor Tema: GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 5, RDP - Caribe  (Leído 62489 veces)

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re:Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria1, RDP-Caribe Oriental
« Respuesta #15 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 05:04:42 am »
Ojo nítido al radar.......... y sigue intensificándose, ya como huracán de 70 KT en categoría 1.

Citar
000
WTNT44 KNHC 300255
TCDAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
1100 PM AST THU SEP 29 2016

Data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that Matthew is
strengthening. The estimated minimum pressure from a dropsonde
is 983 mb.
The SFMR instrument measured an isolated peak wind of
77 kt in the northwest quadrant near the center. However, the
flight-level winds measured in this mission so far only support an
initial intensity of 70 kt.


The cloud pattern is much better organized than 24 hours ago, and
a recent SSMIS pass showed an eye feature. This was confirmed by the
crew onboard the reconnaissance aircraft which reported a circular
22 n mi eye
open to the south.  Images from Curacao radar also show
the center of the cyclone becoming better defined
.  However, since
some southwesterly wind shear is still affecting the cyclone, only a
slight strengthening is forecast during the next 12 to 24 hours.
After that time, the shear is forecast to relax some, and the
overall environment is expected to be more conducive for
intensification. The NHC forecast continues to be above the model
consensus, and is very similar to the forecast issued by my
predecessor.

Fixes from a reconnaissance plane and radar from Curacao indicate
that Matthew is moving toward the west or perhaps just south of due
west at about 12 kt. A strong ridge to the north is forecast to keep
Matthew moving westward across the southern portion of the Central
Caribbean for the next 2 days. After that time, Matthew will be
located on the western side of the high and ahead of a mid-latitude
trough over the Gulf of Mexico.  This steering pattern should force
the cyclone to turn toward the north at about 5 to 7 kt.  The NHC
track forecast is very close to the multi-model consensus, which in
fact has not changed very much today, and does not deviate much from
the previous forecast.

Global models, primarily the GFS and the ECMWF, continue to show a
strong hurricane in the vicinity of Jamaica, Cuba and Haiti in 3 or
4 days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  30/0300Z 14.1N  68.8W   70 KT  80 MPH
 12H  30/1200Z 14.0N  70.4W   75 KT  85 MPH
 24H  01/0000Z 13.9N  72.0W   75 KT  85 MPH
 36H  01/1200Z 13.8N  73.0W   80 KT  90 MPH
 48H  02/0000Z 14.1N  74.0W   85 KT 100 MPH
 72H  03/0000Z 16.4N  75.3W   90 KT 105 MPH
 96H  04/0000Z 19.7N  75.6W   90 KT 105 MPH
120H  05/0000Z 23.5N  75.5W   85 KT 100 MPH

$$
Forecaster Avila

Desconectado Embalses

  • Aficionado desde chico
  • Observador meteorológico
  • Tornado F1
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 796
    • METEOROLOGIA + EMBALSES
Re:Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria1, RDP-Caribe Oriental
« Respuesta #16 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 13:12:55 pm »
Ya es Categoría 2. Y se espera que en las próximas horas suba a Categoría 3 y atraviese las islas caribeñas con esa categoria.

Saludos desde Sevilla.


MI BLOG SOBRE METEOROLOGÍA Y EMBALSES:
https://meteoembalses.blogspot.com.es/

Desconectado Eyestorm_Eric

  • Hurricane Hunters - Cazahuracanes
  • Tornado F1
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 1.081
  • En el ojo de la tormenta esta la calma absoluta
    • Foro de Meteorología de Venezuela
Re:Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria1, RDP-Caribe Oriental
« Respuesta #17 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 14:10:53 pm »
Hora local de Caracas 8am

El centro del Huracán #Matthew CAT2 apenas a 200km al N de Cabo San Román, Paraguaná:

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...14.0 NORTE 69.9 OESTE                         
CERCA DE 130 MI...215 KM AL NORTE NOROESTE DE CURACAO
CERCA DE 535 MI...860 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE KINGSTON JAMAICA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...100 MPH...155 KM/H           
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 265 GRADOS A 14 MPH...22 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...979 MB...28.91 PULGADAS







Caracas, Venezuela

@meteovenezuela
@climavzla

Desconectado Eyestorm_Eric

  • Hurricane Hunters - Cazahuracanes
  • Tornado F1
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 1.081
  • En el ojo de la tormenta esta la calma absoluta
    • Foro de Meteorología de Venezuela
Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 2, RDP - Caribe Oriental
« Respuesta #18 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 16:08:22 pm »
Caracas, Venezuela

@meteovenezuela
@climavzla

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #19 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 17:07:45 pm »
Ya tenemos MAJOR...

Citar
000
WTNT44 KNHC 301449
TCDAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

Matthew has continued to intensify this morning.  An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft recently measured a peak SFMR wind
of 99 kt and a 700-mb wind of 103 kt.    The aircraft
reported that the central pressure had fallen to 968 mb, and also
observed a 16 n mi wide eye that is open to the southwest.  Water
vapor imagery shows a well-established poleward outflow channel,
with outflow also expanding in the southwest quadrant.

This intensification has occurred despite analyzed southwesterly
shear of around 20 kt.
  The SHIPS model output shows this shear
continuing for the next 36 hours or so, and as a result, the SHIPS
and LGEM models show Matthew weakening during this time.  This
weakening trend is also shown by the HWRF and COAMPS-TC hurricane
models.  However, I am reluctant to show a decrease in intensity
given that the environment around the cyclone does not appear to
change much.  Some short-term fluctuations in intensity are
certainly possible, but the official forecast remains above much of
the guidance in the short range and keeps the intensity at 100 kt
through 72 hours. Some weakening is shown by days 4 and 5 due to
potential land interaction.  Late in the period the NHC forecast is
closest to the HWRF model.

Matthew has been moving west-southwestward during the past few
hours, with an initial motion estimate of 255/10.  The cyclone
should continue moving south of due west for the next 12 hours to
the south of a mid-level ridge nosing into the northern Caribbean
Sea.  After that, Matthew should gradually turn poleward as the
ridge retreats eastward and a trough moves into the eastern Gulf of
Mexico.  There remains a large amount of spread in the guidance,
both along and across track.  The ECMWF, ECMWF ensemble mean, and
the UKMET are slower and on the right side of the guidance envelope
at 48 hours and beyond.  The GFS, GEFS ensemble mean, HWRF, and
COAMPS-TC are faster and farther to the left.  The new NHC track
forecast has been adjusted a little to the south in the first 36
hours due to the initial motion, and lies a little south of the
consensus and close to the GFS at this time range.  Beyond that
time, the official forecast is an update of the previous one and
lies a little to the east of the latest multi-model consensus and a
bit to the west of the GFS/ECMWF blend.

It is important to remind users that average NHC track forecast
errors are around 175 miles at day 4 and 230 miles at day 5.
Therefore, it is too soon to rule out possible hurricane impacts
from Matthew in Florida.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  30/1500Z 13.7N  70.8W  100 KT 115 MPH
 12H  01/0000Z 13.5N  71.9W  100 KT 115 MPH
 24H  01/1200Z 13.5N  73.3W  100 KT 115 MPH
 36H  02/0000Z 13.8N  74.3W  100 KT 115 MPH
 48H  02/1200Z 14.7N  75.0W  100 KT 115 MPH
 72H  03/1200Z 17.5N  76.0W  100 KT 115 MPH
 96H  04/1200Z 21.5N  76.0W   90 KT 105 MPH
120H  05/1200Z 25.5N  75.7W   85 KT 100 MPH

$$
Forecaster Brennan

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #20 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 17:10:38 pm »
La última imagen del visible es bestial :o :o :o :o


Desconectado Eyestorm_Eric

  • Hurricane Hunters - Cazahuracanes
  • Tornado F1
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 1.081
  • En el ojo de la tormenta esta la calma absoluta
    • Foro de Meteorología de Venezuela
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #21 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 17:27:55 pm »
Matthew se convierte en un Gran Huracán o Huracán Mayor CAT3 190km al NO de Cabo San Román:





...MATTHEW STRENGTHENS TO A MAJOR HURRICANE WHILE MOVING WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 70.8W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NE OF PUNTA GALLINAS COLOMBIA
ABOUT 495 MI...800 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Colombia has changed the Tropical Storm Watch
that was in effect from the Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha
to a Tropical Storm Warning.

The government of Aruba has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Aruba.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha
Caracas, Venezuela

@meteovenezuela
@climavzla

Desconectado gran canaria4

  • Tornado F1
  • *
  • Mensajes: 266
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #22 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 17:34:48 pm »
pienso que llegara a categoria 5

Desconectado Eyestorm_Eric

  • Hurricane Hunters - Cazahuracanes
  • Tornado F1
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 1.081
  • En el ojo de la tormenta esta la calma absoluta
    • Foro de Meteorología de Venezuela
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #23 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 18:14:23 pm »
Hora local de Caracas 12:!5pm


Consolidando la pared y ojo apareciendo:



Caracas, Venezuela

@meteovenezuela
@climavzla

Desconectado Eyestorm_Eric

  • Hurricane Hunters - Cazahuracanes
  • Tornado F1
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 1.081
  • En el ojo de la tormenta esta la calma absoluta
    • Foro de Meteorología de Venezuela
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #24 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 18:43:19 pm »
Sigue movimiento al OSO

Caracas, Venezuela

@meteovenezuela
@climavzla

Desconectado gran canaria4

  • Tornado F1
  • *
  • Mensajes: 266
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #25 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 19:43:16 pm »
matthew ya llega a los 960 hpa

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #26 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 19:44:17 pm »
Citar
000
WTNT34 KNHC 301733
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...MATTHEW STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE JUST NORTH OF THE GUAJIRA
PENINSULA...



SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 71.3W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM N OF PUNTA GALLINAS COLOMBIA
ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES

Citar
Hurricane Hunters ‏@53d_HHA  16 minHace 16 minutos Ver traducción
Teal 71 finding #Matthew a Cat3 this morning from 10,000 ft! #hurricanehunters  📸: ARWO Maj Spusta 🌀☁️🌀


Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #27 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 19:48:23 pm »
Citar
Brenden Moses ‏@Cyclonebiskit  38 minHace 38 minutos Miami, FL Ver traducción
Radar imagery from NOAA aircraft investigating #Matthew (16:47:03Z). NW eyewall very strong, SE still struggling to close off.


Desconectado CIEM

  • Hurricane Hunters - Cazahuracanes
  • Tornado F1
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 624
    • CIEM
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #28 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 20:08:12 pm »
El huracán #Matthew en imagen visible en #Cat3 y con un ojo ya bien conformado




Desconectado gran canaria4

  • Tornado F1
  • *
  • Mensajes: 266
Re:GRAN Huracan Matthew 14L - 97L categoria 3, RDP - Caribe
« Respuesta #29 en: Septiembre 30, 2016, 22:59:27 pm »
increible matthew ya es categoria 4 y 948 heptopascales en su centro

 



Buscas algun articulo o informacion? usa nuestro buscador